September 11, 2008

(Still) 1.0 GB

So close.

The Twins did their part last night as Kevin Slowey and a 12-hit attack defeated the Royals, but sadly the White Sox narrowly avoided blowing 5-0 and 6-2 leads, hanging on for a 6-5 win to maintain their one-game lead in the AL Central. Shaun Marcum will try to do the Twins a favor by topping Gavin Floyd tonight after Roy Halladay surprisingly failed to get the job done against Mark Buehrle, and the Twins will look for a sweep behind Francisco Liriano. Some notes while waiting for the division to be tied ...

  • Slowey tied Glen Perkins for the team lead with his 12th victory and sliced his ERA to 3.63 by holding the Royals to one run in seven innings. As usual he had pinpoint control, throwing 65 of 94 pitches for strikes and handing out just one walk. Slowey has walked a grand total of 19 batters in 24 starts, which is amazing when it comes along with 111 strikeouts. He leads all of baseball in both walk rate (1.17 per nine innings) and strikeout-to-walk ratio (5.84-to-1), which is pretty special for a 24-year-old.

    Slowey is now 16-10 with a 3.97 ERA and 158-to-30 strikeout-to-walk ratio through 213 career innings, which looks like a season pulled right out of Brad Radke's career. In fact, if you prorate Radke's career numbers to those same 213 innings they're eerily similar to what Slowey has done thus far:

               IP      W      L      ERA      SO     BB     HR     OAVG
    Slowey 213 16 10 3.97 158 30 35 .271
    Radke 213 13 12 4.22 128 39 28 .276

    Since getting knocked around by the White Sox on June 8, Slowey is 10-3 with a 2.98 ERA in 16 starts.

  • Making his way back from a broken foot (and before that a strained finger tendon), Michael Cuddyer took batting practice and jogged the bases prior to last night's game. However, LaVelle E. Neal III of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports that "he's still several days away from being activated." If Cuddyer can make it back before the September 28 regular-season finale, he'll probably be limited to designated hitter duties while playing primarily versus left-handers. In other words, don't count on a huge impact.
  • Speaking of eerily similar comparisons and Cuddyer, take a look at these career totals:
                    AVG      OBP      SLG      OPS     K/BB     AB/HR
    Cuddyer .269 .344 .442 .786 2.01 31.1
    Player X .270 .328 .442 .770 2.07 27.9

    Player X is none other than Jason Kubel and aside from the lack of a $24 million contract extension his career marks now very much resemble Cuddyer's totals.

  • Justin Morneau has knocked in 15 runs over the past nine games to give him 119 RBIs on the year, putting him just five behind Josh Hamilton for the AL lead (Hamilton has "only" 24 RBIs in 41 games since reaching 100 in his 99th game way back on July 25). Interestingly, during his MVP-winning 2006 campaign Morneau also finished second in RBIs, falling seven short of David Ortiz's league-leading total of 137. Here's how Morneau's current numbers compare to this same point in the 2006 season:
    YEAR      PA      AVG      OBP      SLG      OPS     HR     RBI     RUN
    2006 583 .325 .381 .583 .964 33 120 85
    2008 633 .309 .384 .524 .908 23 119 89

    In 2006 he sat out five of the team's first 145 games and typically hit either fifth or sixth in the lineup, but this year he's played every game while always batting cleanup. Not missing any time and moving up a spot or two in the batting order helps explains Morneau's 50 extra plate appearances compared to this same point in 2006. He's used those additional 50 trips to the plate to accumulate nearly identical run production despite having 10 fewer homers and a 56-point drop in OPS.

  • His ERA has been just as ugly in the bullpen, but after a two-strikeout inning last night Boof Bonser now has a 47-to-13 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 42 innings as a reliever. Along with a 6.21 ERA he's allowed a .297 batting average and served up seven homers in those 42 frames of relief, but if Bonser continues to miss that many bats and throw that many strikes his ERA will eventually shrink and he'll be a solid late-inning option.
  • Over The Baggy examines what this season may have been like for the Twins had Bill Smith sat on his hands and essentially done nothing in his first year as general manager.
  • I'm hosting a "live NFL chat" at 2:00 p.m. today over at Rotoworld, so feel free to stop by and ask me something that has absolutely nothing to do with football.

  • Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.

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